Investidores profissionais

Para investidores profissionais que gerem investimentos em nome de outra pessoa.

Mudar país do sítio Web
Login
Página inicialInsights and ResearchIs the Fed behind the curve Is the Bank of Japan dangerously ahead of the curve
A weak US jobs report reignited concerns about a US recession, and a surprisingly large Bank of Japan rate hike causes a rapid unwind of the yen carry trade. Together, these sent shockwaves through financial markets. Paul Diggle and Luke Bartholomew speak to James McCann and Sree Kochugovindan about whether “this time is different” for US recession indicators, what the resignation of Prime Minister Kishida means for the Bank of Japan, and the outlook for US and Japanese monetary policy. 

Artigos relacionados

Global Macro Research1 min Ler

China’s long, sluggish summer

Chinese data disappointed in July, with the economy expanding at a slow pace. Policymakers continue to take an incremental approach to easing, which is unlikely to spark a meaningful upturn in the economy in the near term.

China’s long, sluggish summer
Global Macro Research1 min Ler

Fiscal slippage and Lula’s frustration: Why Brazil’s central bank has paused cuts and what to expect

The Brazilian central bank will keep policy on hold for the rest of the year as a combination of sticky inflation, fiscal concerns and economic resilience reduces the scope for rate cuts in the near term. However, we expect it to resume easing in 2025, as fiscal consolidation takes place and inflation concerns fade.

Fiscal slippage and Lula’s frustration: Why Brazil’s central bank has paused cuts and what to expect
Global Macro Research28 min Ouvir

How do macro themes drive equity markets?

The latest episode of our Macro Bytes podcast on thematic investing

How do macro themes drive equity markets?
Global Macro Research1 min Ler

What does Bank of Japan tapering mean for markets?

The rapid depreciation of the Japanese yen has moderated, but policymakers still face difficult choices. The BoJ will publish its plan for tapering bond purchases at the end of July. Tapering may lead to higher bond yields and some support for the currency. But we think large international spillovers will be minimised by tightening cautiously.

What does Bank of Japan tapering mean for markets?
Global Macro Research1 min Ler

China’s 5% growth target is at risk

A weaker-than-expected Q2 GDP print has put China’s growth target of “around 5%” on a knife edge. Low expectations for the Third Plenum were largely met, with geopolitical tensions continuing to keep the authorities focused on national security and domestic resilience at the expense of more growth-friendly reforms.

China’s 5% growth target is at risk