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QUICK LINKS
abrdn addresses the gap in active ownership within the $141tn* global bond market by publishing its Fixed Income Engagement Roadmap, aiming to enhance bondholder stewardship practices.
What lies ahead for housing in Seoul? We discuss the evolving opportunities for renters and landlords.
Neil Odom-Haslett discusses the future of private credit and what it could mean for investors.
Our summary of developments in emerging market debt in October 2024 and outlook.
Green stocks wobbled as Donald Trump won the US presidential election. Here’s what a second Trump term could mean for sustainability.
Devan Kaloo looks at how the US presidential election result might impact emerging market equities.
A look at how the results of the recent US presidential election impacts frontier debt, emerging market local currencies, and corporate bonds.
We look at how to better manage China risks, while seeking attractive emerging market equity investments outside the world's second-largest economy.
In our Monthly Macro video for November, Lizzy Galbraith, Political Economist, discusses what Trump’s leadership may mean for taxes, the deficit, immigration, trade, growth and inflation.
The return of Donald Trump to the White House opens the door to a wide range of shocks for emerging markets, both positive and negative.
If implemented in full, Trump’s tariff policies would weigh meaningfully on European growth. Even partial or temporary implementation would represent a drag, which would not be fully offset by any associated increase in defence spending. As such, we expect the ECB to ease policy slightly more rapidly.
Chinese policymakers announced a RMB 10 trillion debt swap, providing some breathing room for cash-strapped local governments. Additional support for consumers and businesses should eventually arrive, not least because stimulus will be necessary to offset another trade war under President Trump. But the focus on derisking and shoring up balance sheets may continue to disappoint market expectations for big stimulus.
Markets are focusing on the reflationary aspects of Trump’s agenda. This has meant a stronger dollar, higher yields, US equites up, and oil lower. But these moves may evolve as different aspects of Trump’s economic agenda shift in and out of focus. Higher nominal GDP growth and higher-than-otherwise interest rates are the macro implications we are most confident about for now.
Join Macro Bytes to dissect the US election results, Trump's policy agenda and its market implications, with expert insights from the team
New fiscal rules, elevated taxes, higher government borrowing, and boosts to public expenditure. As financial markets assess these changes, discover our perspective on the UK budget and its potential impact on growth.
The Liberal Democratic Party-led coalition lost its majority in Sunday’s lower house elections. An expanded governing coalition or supply-and-confidence arrangement should not lead to major policy reversals, although fiscal policy may be looser. While domestic risks remain, the dominant market drivers will be the corporate reform story, US-Japan rate differentials, and the US election.
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