Bitcoin, the most popular cryptocurrency in the world, has traded to record levels, breaching a key US$100,000 threshold amid this rekindled confidence.
A shift in US leadership is expected to bring significant changes and opportunities for the digital assets industry – driven by a more favourable regulatory environment and increased institutional support.
Regulatory clarity and support
One of the most anticipated changes under the new administration is the potential for greater regulatory clarity.
President-elect Trump had already expressed his intention to fire the head of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Gary Gensler, who is known for his scepticism towards cryptocurrencies.
Gensler has announced his intention to resign when Trump takes office next month, saving him the trouble, so the path is clear for someone more supportive to take the reins at the market regulator.
This move is expected to pave the way for a more crypto-friendly regulatory framework, which could benefit the entire digital assets ecosystem.
While there has been much speculation around who would take Gensler’s job, including several executives from the cryptocurrency industry, Trump’s nomination at the time of writing is former SEC commissioner, Paul Atkins.
Atkins runs advisory firm, Patomak Global Partners, and advises companies on navigating crypto issues. He is well known as a supporter of looser cryptocurrency regulations.
Supporters of digital assets are hopeful that a new generation of top market watchdogs will help bolster the industry's growth trajectory.
Institutional adoption and market growth
The new administration's policies are also expected to facilitate greater institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies.
Its commitment to creating a ‘Strategic Bitcoin Reserve’ through US Treasury purchases, although unlikely, has already generated positive momentum in the market.
Additionally, continued flows into spot exchange traded fund (ETF) products and the approval of listed options – standardised financial derivative contracts based on these ETFs – have set the stage for further market expansion.
Under Trump, the US is expected to make it easier for businesses to operate in the cryptocurrency space. This includes providing substantial banking support for cryptocurrency businesses, which contrasts with the banking-access denial seen under the existing administration.
Such support could lead to broader adoption of public blockchains – secure, immutable, decentralised digital ledgers that operate using cryptocurrencies – by financial services companies.
Tokenised assets – digital representations of real-world assets, such as funds or securities, that are traded on blockchain platforms – may also become more popular.
Global competitiveness and market dynamics
The new administration's pro-cryptocurrency stance is likely to enhance the US's competitiveness in the global digital assets market.
With fewer regulatory hurdles, the home of Silicon Valley may regain its position as a leading hub for cryptocurrency innovation and investment.
This shift could also impact other markets, such as the UK, which may face increased competition as the United States strengthens its position.
Despite this positive outlook for the industry, it is important to acknowledge the inherent volatility of cryptocurrency markets.
While market sentiment is currently strong, any broad-based ‘risk-off’ event could result in a near-term pullback.
Nevertheless, the overall trend points towards continued strength and support for cryptocurrencies next year.
Last thoughts
A new US government presents a unique opportunity for the digital assets and cryptocurrency industry.
With a more favourable regulatory environment, increased institutional support and enhanced global competitiveness, the stage is set for significant growth and innovation.
As we head into 2025, the industry can look forward to a period of transformation and opportunity, driven by new political and regulatory leadership.