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QUICK LINKS
A look at Trump presidency's potential impact, from policy implications to market dynamics, with a focus on the unique positioning of small cap stocks.
Read our Q&A covering the highs and lows of EM SDG investing over the last three years – and where we go from here.
Could you contribute to decarbonisation and tap into long-term investment potential?
abrdn addresses the gap in active ownership within the $141tn* global bond market by publishing its Fixed Income Engagement Roadmap, aiming to enhance bondholder stewardship practices.
What lies ahead for housing in Seoul? We discuss the evolving opportunities for renters and landlords.
Neil Odom-Haslett discusses the future of private credit and what it could mean for investors.
Our summary of developments in emerging market debt in October 2024 and outlook.
Green stocks wobbled as Donald Trump won the US presidential election. Here’s what a second Trump term could mean for sustainability.
In our Monthly Macro video for November, Lizzy Galbraith, Political Economist, discusses what Trump’s leadership may mean for taxes, the deficit, immigration, trade, growth and inflation.
The return of Donald Trump to the White House opens the door to a wide range of shocks for emerging markets, both positive and negative.
If implemented in full, Trump’s tariff policies would weigh meaningfully on European growth. Even partial or temporary implementation would represent a drag, which would not be fully offset by any associated increase in defence spending. As such, we expect the ECB to ease policy slightly more rapidly.
Chinese policymakers announced a RMB 10 trillion debt swap, providing some breathing room for cash-strapped local governments. Additional support for consumers and businesses should eventually arrive, not least because stimulus will be necessary to offset another trade war under President Trump. But the focus on derisking and shoring up balance sheets may continue to disappoint market expectations for big stimulus.
Join Macro Bytes to dissect the US election results, Trump's policy agenda and its market implications, with expert insights from the team
Markets are focusing on the reflationary aspects of Trump’s agenda. This has meant a stronger dollar, higher yields, US equites up, and oil lower. But these moves may evolve as different aspects of Trump’s economic agenda shift in and out of focus. Higher nominal GDP growth and higher-than-otherwise interest rates are the macro implications we are most confident about for now.
New fiscal rules, elevated taxes, higher government borrowing, and boosts to public expenditure. As financial markets assess these changes, discover our perspective on the UK budget and its potential impact on growth.
The budget increases day-to-day spending and investment, funded by higher taxes and changed fiscal rules that will increase borrowing. These measures should boost near-term growth but may only modestly improve potential growth. With the fiscal rules only narrowly met, further tax increases are possible in the future.
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