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New fiscal rules, elevated taxes, higher government borrowing, and boosts to public expenditure. As financial markets assess these changes, discover our perspective on the UK budget and its potential impact on growth.
An emerging market cutting cycle is underway, helped by a US ‘soft landing’. As growth slows, we expect more monetary easing, but lingering inflationary pressures, still reasonable growth and political uncertainty will likely cap the extent to which policy rates are lowered.
The revamped EU fiscal rules are meant to lower debt and deficit ratios over the long term. But the pressing need for public investment, as well as high and rising interest expenditure costs, will push up on these measures instead. Indeed, the fiscal rules lack credibility and are likely to be watered down again in the future.
abrdn's economists discuss France’s snap election and the potential fiscal and political impacts.
How did China become the leading producer of electric vehicles? What impacts does this have on China's economy and trade tensions with the US and Europe?