Key Takeaways

  • The rate cutting cycle is getting cut short, at least in the US and some EMs.
  • Debt is a worry again, and the term premium is likely to rise further. 
  • There can be emerging market winners as well as losers from changing patterns of globalisation. 
  • Any ceasefire in Ukraine or the Middle East will be unstable.
  •  Europe is the next locus of political risk.

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