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Insights and research

The expert opinion and research driving our investment decisions.

Insights

Trump wins – what does it mean for sustainability?
Insights
Trump wins – what does it mean for sustainability?

Green stocks wobbled as Donald Trump won the US presidential election. Here’s what a second Trump term could mean for sustainability.

5 min Read
What does a Trump presidency mean for EM equities?
Insights
What does a Trump presidency mean for EM equities?

Devan Kaloo looks at how the US presidential election result might impact emerging market equities.

5 min Read
Emerging market debt: Navigating the post-US election landscape
Insights
Emerging market debt: Navigating the post-US election landscape

A look at how the results of the recent US presidential election impacts frontier debt, emerging market local currencies, and corporate bonds.

3 min Read
Beyond the dragon's reach
Insights
Beyond the dragon's reach

We look at how to better manage China risks, while seeking attractive emerging market equity investments outside the world's second-largest economy.

9 min Read
Reasons to believe: time for fixed income
Insights
Reasons to believe: time for fixed income

As interest rates drop and inflation cools, we assess the most promising segments of the fixed income market.

3 min Read
Why Indian bond index inclusion is a big deal
Insights
Why Indian bond index inclusion is a big deal

Amit Moudgil considers the significance of Indian bonds achieving increasing representation in global bond indices.

3 min Read
Diversified Assets – Rapid-fire Note
Insights
Diversified Assets – Rapid-fire Note

Listed infrastructure investment companies are trading at significant discounts to NAV. Uncover the reasons and potential opportunities for investors.

5 min Read
A US small caps rebirth?
Insights
A US small caps rebirth?

After a prolonged period of underperformance relative to large caps, a look at how initial signs may point to a potential uptick in US small-cap stocks.

5 min Read
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Global Macro Research

US Election: It’s Trump. What's next?
Global Macro Research
US Election: It’s Trump. What's next?

Markets are focusing on the reflationary aspects of Trump’s agenda. This has meant a stronger dollar, higher yields, US equites up, and oil lower. But these moves may evolve as different aspects of Trump’s economic agenda shift in and out of focus. Higher nominal GDP growth and higher-than-otherwise interest rates are the macro implications we are most confident about for now.

1 min Read
What does Trump mean for the economy?
Global Macro Research
What does Trump mean for the economy?

Join Macro Bytes to dissect the US election results, Trump's policy agenda and its market implications, with expert insights from the team

23 min Listen
A budget for growth, or for higher gilt yields?
Global Macro Research
A budget for growth, or for higher gilt yields?

New fiscal rules, elevated taxes, higher government borrowing, and boosts to public expenditure. As financial markets assess these changes, discover our perspective on the UK budget and its potential impact on growth.

0 min Listen
What are the impacts of Japan's LDP losing its majority?
Global Macro Research
What are the impacts of Japan's LDP losing its majority?

The Liberal Democratic Party-led coalition lost its majority in Sunday’s lower house elections. An expanded governing coalition or supply-and-confidence arrangement should not lead to major policy reversals, although fiscal policy may be looser. While domestic risks remain, the dominant market drivers will be the corporate reform story, US-Japan rate differentials, and the US election.

1 min Read
How will the presidential election result affect emerging markets?
Global Macro Research
How will the presidential election result affect emerging markets?

A look at how election results will have major implications for the emerging market outlook, affecting both the future economic backdrop and geopolitical landscape.

12 min Read
Has China fired its stimulus bazooka?
Global Macro Research
Has China fired its stimulus bazooka?

Chinese stimulus has significantly increased, boosting equity markets recently. We discuss China’s economic challenges, risks of ‘Japanification', and whether recent measures mark a policy shift.

22 min Listen
Emerging markets outlook: Easing cycle broadens
Global Macro Research
Emerging markets outlook: Easing cycle broadens

An emerging market cutting cycle is underway, helped by a US ‘soft landing’. As growth slows, we expect more monetary easing, but lingering inflationary pressures, still reasonable growth and political uncertainty will likely cap the extent to which policy rates are lowered.

1 min Read
Macro Bytes: Retail investors are upbeat despite the risks - with Carl Hazeley
Global Macro Research
Macro Bytes: Retail investors are upbeat despite the risks - with Carl Hazeley

Paul and Luke discuss some of the findings from Finimize's latest Modern Investor Pulse survey with Carl Hazeley.

25 min Listen
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